Republican
Donald Trump campaigned on a promise to shake up Washington and as president
the brash real estate mogul will be able to dramatically change how the United
States handles immigration, trade and a range of other policies.
Yet
many of his more ambitious proposals will require co-operation from Congress
after he takes office on January. 20. While he will may enjoy a post-election
honeymoon with congressional Republicans, a long-lasting romance is far from
guaranteed, given his uneasy relationship with congressional leaders and some
basic ideological differences he has with Republican orthodoxy.
Following
is an overview of Trump's top policy plans:
TRADE
In
his campaign, Trump argued that international trade agreements had hurt US
workers and the country's competitiveness. He has promised to "get
tough" on China and withdraw from the 12-nation Trans-Pacific Partnership,
or TPP, which is still not finalised. As president, Trump does have some power
to raise tariffs on countries such as China.
President
Barack Obama's administration has suspended its efforts to win congressional
approval for TPP, saying its fate was up to Trump and Republican lawmakers.
Trump
has also said he would renegotiate or scrap the North American Free Trade
Agreement, the 1994 free-trade deal with Mexico and Canada. Both Canada and
Mexico have indicated they are willing to discuss the agreement with Trump.
Canada has indicated it would consider a free-trade agreement that excludes
Mexico.
Economists
have warned that such moves would damage the economy by forcing consumers to
pay dramatically higher prices on everything from refrigerators to T-shirts. US
exports, such as aeroplanes and soybeans, would likely suffer as well.
IMMIGRATION
Trump
has promised to build a wall along the Mexican border, deport millions of
undocumented immigrants and ban immigration from countries that have been
"compromised by terrorism".
Since
his election, he has said parts could be a fence instead of a wall, and he
would act to deport up to three million immigrants in the country illegally who
have criminal records. It was unclear where his figure comes from. Think tank
Migration Policy Institute estimated in a 2015 report there were 820,000
unauthorised immigrants with criminal records.
Those
policies would not come cheap. Trump has estimated the wall would cost $US8
billion to $US12 billion ($A11 billion-$A16 billion). Other estimates have run
much higher.
Politico estimated it would cost at least $US166 billion to deport
all of those in the country illegally and complete a border wall. While many
congressional Republicans support those policies, they might blanch at the
cost.
Trump has said he would force Mexico to pay for the wall, but he
has no power to force another country to spend money on something it does not
want.
Trump also promised to withhold federal funds from "sanctuary
cities" such as New York and Los Angeles that shield people who are in the
country illegally.
More broadly, Trump could shift the broader debate over
immigration, empowering sceptics like Republican Senator Jeff Sessions of
Alabama who want to reduce overall immigration levels and reduce the number of
skilled guest workers. That would be a blow to business groups and Hispanic
advocates who have sought to relax immigration laws.
HEALTHCARE
Trump has promised to repeal President Barack Obama's signature
Affordable Care Act, popularly known as Obamacare, and replace it with a plan
that would give states more control over the Medicaid health plan for the poor
and allow insurers to sell plans nationally.
He would need Congress to act, and Republicans could have
difficulty getting the 60 votes needed to advance a repeal effort through the
100-member Senate.
Republicans could face a public backlash if they repeal a law that
has provided healthcare to millions of Americans who previously had no cover.
After the election, Trump said he would consider retaining parts
of Obamacare, including provisions letting parents keep adult children up to
age 26 on insurance policies and barring insurers from denying coverage to
people with existing conditions.
TAXES AND SPENDING
Trump has vowed to make deep tax cuts, while also promising to
protect popular health and retirement programs that account for more than a
third of US government spending.
That combination of policies would massively increase the national
debt, per the nonpartisan Center for a Responsible Budget.
He has also proposed increasing spending on the military and
infrastructure, but has said he would reduce spending on categories other than
health and retirement by one per cent each year.
No comments:
Post a Comment